<p><em>&ldquo;港大真是餓了，一堆雙非！&rdquo;</em></p> <p><em>&ldquo;滿屏都是雙非錄港大，今年直接大放水了？&rdquo;</em></p> <p><em>&ldquo;雙非80拿港大Offer，扶我起來(lái)，我也行！&rdquo;</em></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273640123.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>確實(shí)，<strong>港大今年發(fā)offer的節(jié)奏和數(shù)量確實(shí)明顯提升，甚至出現(xiàn)了不少雙非低分上岸的&ldquo;驚喜案例&rdquo;。</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273697693.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>但在這股空前的熱度背后，真相到底是<span style="color: #0086d1;">&ldquo;港大餓了&rdquo;還是少數(shù)雙非的&ldquo;幸存者偏差&rdquo;呢？</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h1><strong>&ldquo;擴(kuò)招&rdquo;背后的極致內(nèi)卷</strong></h1> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>說(shuō)到&ldquo;港大餓了&rdquo;這個(gè)話題，不得不提香港大學(xué)年富一年的&ldquo;擴(kuò)招計(jì)劃&rdquo;。也正是因?yàn)?lt;span style="color: #0086d1;"><strong>錄取名額的逐年增加，使得大家認(rèn)為申請(qǐng)港大是不是更容易了！</strong></span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>但這邏輯其實(shí)有個(gè)大坑：留學(xué)申請(qǐng)是個(gè)動(dòng)態(tài)的&ldquo;搶位子&rdquo;游戲，<span style="color: #0086d1;">決定你能不能錄取的，從來(lái)不是名額有多少，而是有多少人和你一起搶。</span></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273775498.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>我們不妨看一組對(duì)比圖，根據(jù)指南者留學(xué)內(nèi)部數(shù)據(jù)顯示，截至2026年2月，<span style="color: #0086d1;">港大26Fall的總申請(qǐng)人數(shù)（4941人）已經(jīng)達(dá)到了去年的2.2倍，甚至比前年翻了一番還多。</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>所以說(shuō)，能被看到的&ldquo;擴(kuò)招紅利&rdquo;，其實(shí)早就被海量的申請(qǐng)人給攤薄了，看著餅大了，其實(shí)分到每個(gè)人手里更少了。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/17708827374299.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" width="76" height="76" /></p> <p>關(guān)于大家最關(guān)心的&ldquo;本科出身&rdquo;問(wèn)題。這兩年確實(shí)有個(gè)好苗頭。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273897360.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>深扒指南者留學(xué)這三年港大錄取生源情況，就會(huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)以往處于統(tǒng)治地位的<span style="color: #0086d1;"><strong>985名校生</strong>，<strong>占比正在逐年下降</strong></span>，從24fall的56.1%一路掉到了26fall的45.1%。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>與此同時(shí)，<span style="color: #0086d1;"><strong>211和海外本的學(xué)生占比卻在穩(wěn)步提升。</strong></span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>而雙非生源上，前年錄取占比是9.2%，<span style="color: #0086d1;"><strong>去年漲到了11%，而今年26Fall雖然還沒(méi)結(jié)束，占比就已經(jīng)達(dá)到了9.7%</strong></span><strong>。</strong>按照目前的勢(shì)頭，今年雙非錄取的總?cè)藬?shù)和最終占比極有可能反超去年。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273877461.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" width="71" height="71" /></p> <p>有趣的是，雖然雙非錄取占比多了，但因?yàn)橄氤赃@塊餅的人實(shí)在太多，<span style="color: #0086d1;">導(dǎo)致針對(duì)雙非群體的個(gè)體錄取率反而經(jīng)歷了&ldquo;斷崖式&rdquo;的下滑。</span></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273925318.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>在前兩年，雙非錄取率還能維持在14%左右，大約是&ldquo;七個(gè)人里錄一個(gè)&rdquo;；但到了今年，這個(gè)數(shù)字已經(jīng)縮水到了不足8%。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088273914189.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" width="101" height="102" /></p> <p>所以說(shuō)，<strong>當(dāng)你在慶祝&ldquo;名額變多&rdquo;的時(shí)候，千萬(wàn)別忘了，你身后的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手比往年多出了好幾倍。</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>所以說(shuō)名額變多不等于要求降低，在大家都扎堆往里擠的今年，申請(qǐng)的容錯(cuò)率反而比往年更低了。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h1><strong>誰(shuí)是港大&ldquo;天選之子&rdquo;</strong></h1> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>總體錄取率下降了，那雙非申請(qǐng)港大的機(jī)會(huì)點(diǎn)，會(huì)在哪里呢？</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>通過(guò)對(duì)26Fall已發(fā)放的雙非錄取進(jìn)行畫像拆解，我們發(fā)現(xiàn)<span style="color: #0086d1;">港大的錄取標(biāo)準(zhǔn)有著非常清晰、甚至可以說(shuō)是殘酷的&ldquo;分層邏輯&rdquo;。</span></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274039553.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>我們將申請(qǐng)者按均分劃分為四個(gè)梯隊(duì)，從數(shù)據(jù)圖中可以清晰地看到，這四個(gè)梯隊(duì)的命運(yùn)簡(jiǎn)直是&ldquo;冰火兩重天&rdquo;。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h2><strong>絕緣層：均分&lt;80分</strong></h2> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>首先要給均分低于80分的同學(xué)潑一盆冷水。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274167196.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>從這張 GPA＜80 的占比圖能明顯看出，<strong>26Fall 這個(gè)分段錄取直接是0。</strong>港大雖然在擴(kuò)招，但對(duì)內(nèi)地雙非學(xué)生來(lái)說(shuō)，<span style="color: #0086d1;">80分依舊是一道硬紅線</span>。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>指南者數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)里，均分低于80還能錄取的案例基本為零。翻完近三年幾千條記錄，僅有的幾個(gè) &ldquo;撿漏&rdquo; 也都是極端個(gè)例。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274115961.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" width="104" height="126" /></p> <p>所以不管你實(shí)踐多豐富，港大初篩里，<strong>硬件分?jǐn)?shù)永遠(yuǎn)是第一位。</strong>均分還在70多分的，真不建議再拿申請(qǐng)費(fèi)去試水了。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h2><strong>幸存者層：均分80-85分</strong></h2> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>這個(gè)分?jǐn)?shù)段討論度最高，也是各種 &ldquo;低分逆襲&rdquo; 故事的發(fā)源地。</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274265926.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>從圖上能看到，今年這個(gè)分段的錄取人數(shù)比24Fall 明顯上漲，占到雙非總錄取的15.9%。很多人一看數(shù)據(jù)就很激動(dòng)，覺(jué)得自己也有戲。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>但先別著急，仔細(xì)扒一扒<strong>這16%錄取者的背景就會(huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)，他們個(gè)個(gè)都有真本事。</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274375093.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p><span style="color: #0096ea;">這些均分82-84的同學(xué)里，七成以上都有雅思7.0、托福100+，或是硬核科研、工作經(jīng)歷。</span>如果你分?jǐn)?shù)在這個(gè)區(qū)間，軟實(shí)力卻很普通，大概率只會(huì)成為陪跑的分母。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h2><strong>主力層：均分85-90分</strong></h2> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>這個(gè)分?jǐn)?shù)段才是港大招生的&ldquo;基本盤&rdquo;，也是最穩(wěn)的大后方。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274413645.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>數(shù)據(jù)顯示，<span style="color: #0086d1;">26Fall超過(guò)六成的雙非offer，都集中發(fā)給了這個(gè)分段的學(xué)生。</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>在這個(gè)區(qū)間里，學(xué)校對(duì)軟背景的要求相對(duì)正常：一份合格的雅思（6.5分，小分6.0），兩到三段相關(guān)的實(shí)習(xí)經(jīng)歷，配合86-88左右的均分，你就是港大最歡迎的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)申請(qǐng)者。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274493514.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" width="103" height="103" /></p> <p><strong>如果你處于這個(gè)分?jǐn)?shù)段，不要被龐大的申請(qǐng)人數(shù)嚇退。你的真實(shí)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)環(huán)境，其實(shí)是相對(duì)穩(wěn)定的。</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h2><strong>流失層：均分90+</strong></h2> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>有趣的是，從GPA90+的趨勢(shì)圖來(lái)看，<strong>這一檔的占比相比去年反而略有下降，跌到了20.3%。</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274511025.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p>可能是因?yàn)榫?0+的頂尖雙非生變得更自信了，他們今年更多地流向了英國(guó)G5或新加坡二所。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>這種高端生源的主動(dòng)分流，反倒給身處85-90分段的同學(xué)騰出了更多的生存空間。</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h1><strong>雙非逆襲靠什么加分</strong></h1> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>然而，均分只是基礎(chǔ)，<span style="color: #0086d1;">真正的&ldquo;天選之子&rdquo;往往擁有院校背景的隱形加持。</span></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274673697.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /></p> <p><strong><span style="color: #0086d1;">港大篩選其實(shí)很看 &ldquo;出身&rdquo;。</span></strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>如果你來(lái)自大灣區(qū)的雙非強(qiáng)校，上岸率妥妥要高出其他院校一大截，<strong>比如我們耳熟能詳?shù)纳钲诖髮W(xué)、南方科技大學(xué)。</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>而軟</strong><strong>科靠前的雙非強(qiáng)校，比如南郵、杭師或華南農(nóng)業(yè)、南信大這類新晉雙一流</strong>，申請(qǐng)時(shí)會(huì)明顯更吃香，甚至分?jǐn)?shù)略低一點(diǎn)，也能沖進(jìn)港前三。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span style="color: #0086d1;">這類學(xué)校算是雙非里的第一梯隊(duì)，在港校眼里認(rèn)可度更高。</span></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/177088274778978.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMS5wbmc=/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" width="76" height="76" /></p> <p><span style="color: #0086d1;">而繼續(xù)細(xì)分學(xué)科領(lǐng)域，不難發(fā)現(xiàn)，越是熱門的專業(yè)，越是雙非上岸</span><span style="color: #0086d1;">&nbsp;&ldquo;重災(zāi)區(qū)&rdquo;。</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>金融、會(huì)計(jì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)這些熱門方向，<strong>名額基本被 985/211 和海本包攬。</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>對(duì)于雙非學(xué)生而言，這不僅僅是均分90+的較量，更是頂級(jí)實(shí)習(xí)、GMAT高分以及院校含金量的全方位肉搏。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong><span style="color: #0086d1;">所以選擇大于努力，26Fall 想上名校，精準(zhǔn)撿漏才是真捷徑。</span></strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>現(xiàn)在很多大商科交叉項(xiàng)目正處在紅利期，比如<strong>全球管理、非營(yíng)利管理、環(huán)境管理</strong>這類，課程和就業(yè)跟商科高度接近，但錄取門檻低一檔，名校 title 卻一點(diǎn)不差。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span style="color: #0086d1;">均分 86&ndash;88、實(shí)踐不錯(cuò)的雙非同學(xué)，避開卷王扎堆的純商科，轉(zhuǎn)投這些高性價(jià)比專業(yè)，才是最聰明的逆襲思路。</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h1><strong>END</strong></h1> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>港大今年確實(shí)在擴(kuò)招，看似給雙非開了一扇門，但也使得申請(qǐng)之路擠得水泄不通。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>而對(duì)27Fall的同學(xué)來(lái)說(shuō)，形勢(shì)只會(huì)更卷：申請(qǐng)節(jié)奏提前、門檻大概率上浮，現(xiàn)在就是刷均分、補(bǔ)語(yǔ)言、攢硬核經(jīng)歷的黃金期。</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>別等臨近申請(qǐng)才慌，提前占位、避開紅海，才是穩(wěn)贏思路。不盲目樂(lè)觀，也不必過(guò)度焦慮。選對(duì)生態(tài)位，比盲目努力更重要。</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <div class="qrcode-content-wrapper" contenteditable="false"> <div style="position: absolute; 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